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Risk Analysis of the River Bank Washout and Flooding of the Areas

Received: 29 July 2015     Accepted: 31 July 2015     Published: 7 September 2015
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Abstract

Quantitative assessment and forecasting of one or another hydrological phenomenon is important for estimation of vulnerability of natural riverside. Mechanism of riverside destruction by water is considered in the represented work as random process, which is depended both on influence of flow speed and on riverside resistance. As the indicator of this process against such influence is taken riverside characteristic – vulnerability, for determination of which is used a well-known model of the theory of reliability, called “load-strength” model. Proceeding from this fact a result obtained via theoretical formalization in the form of represented formula is considered at this stage as approximation and time factor should be taken into account in the modeling process that will be a step forward in relation to current reality.

Published in Earth Sciences (Volume 4, Issue 5-1)

This article belongs to the Special Issue Modern Problems of Geography and Anthropology

DOI 10.11648/j.earth.s.2015040501.31
Page(s) 113-119
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2015. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Riverside, Vulnerability, Probabilistic Assessment

References
[1] P. Shatberashvili, G. Dokhnadze, D. Kereselidze."Floods and freshets in western Georgia, freshet-preventive and erosion-preventive measures". In collection: Engineering methods of forecasting and fight against soil erosion, Tbilisi, 1977, pp. 133-142.
[2] G. Dokhnadze, Z. Charbadze, D.Lortkipanidze, L.Tsanava. “Freshets on Rioni River and establishment of probable values of maximal expenses”, Georgian Academy of Sciences, Institute of water economy, collection of scientific works.
[3] B. V. Gnedenko, Yu. K. Belyaev, A. L. Solovyov, "Mathematical methods in the theory of reliability". Moscow, “Nauka”, 1965, p. 524.
[4] Sotskov B. S."Basics of the theory of reliability of elements and devices of automatics and computing techniques", Moscow, “Vysshayashkola”, 1970, p. 270.
[5] Ts. E. Mirtskhulava, "Hazards and risks at water and other systems" (in 2 volumes), Tbilisi, “Nauka”, 2003, p. 537.
[6] Е. S. Wentzel."Theory of probability", Moscow, “Vysshayashkola”, 1969, p. 576.
[7] B. V. Gnedenko, "The course of theory of probability", Moscow, Publishing house “Phizmatgiz”, 1961, p. 406.
[8] D. Kereselidze, K. Bilashvili,V. Trapaidze. “Hydrological zoning of the territory of Georgia and estimation of water resources on the background of the climatic change”Proccedings 12-th International Multidisciplinary Scientific Geo-Conference & EXPO - SGEM 2012, vol III, pp-729-732.
[9] D. Kereselidze, L. Matchavariani, V. Trapaidze, et al. Evaluation and Management of the Risk of Flooding River Bank. Engineering Geology for Society and Territory. Vol.3: River Basin, Reservoir Sedimentation and Water Resources. SPRINGIER International Publishing Switzerland, pp. 463-469, 2014
[10] D. Kereselidze, V. Trapaidze, G.Bregvadze. "The methods for determination of hydrological specifications". "Universal" 2009, p.120.
Cite This Article
  • APA Style

    David Kereselidze, Vazha Trapaidze, Giorgi Bregvadze, Irakli Megrelidze. (2015). Risk Analysis of the River Bank Washout and Flooding of the Areas. Earth Sciences, 4(5-1), 113-119. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.earth.s.2015040501.31

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    ACS Style

    David Kereselidze; Vazha Trapaidze; Giorgi Bregvadze; Irakli Megrelidze. Risk Analysis of the River Bank Washout and Flooding of the Areas. Earth Sci. 2015, 4(5-1), 113-119. doi: 10.11648/j.earth.s.2015040501.31

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    AMA Style

    David Kereselidze, Vazha Trapaidze, Giorgi Bregvadze, Irakli Megrelidze. Risk Analysis of the River Bank Washout and Flooding of the Areas. Earth Sci. 2015;4(5-1):113-119. doi: 10.11648/j.earth.s.2015040501.31

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  • @article{10.11648/j.earth.s.2015040501.31,
      author = {David Kereselidze and Vazha Trapaidze and Giorgi Bregvadze and Irakli Megrelidze},
      title = {Risk Analysis of the River Bank Washout and Flooding of the Areas},
      journal = {Earth Sciences},
      volume = {4},
      number = {5-1},
      pages = {113-119},
      doi = {10.11648/j.earth.s.2015040501.31},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.earth.s.2015040501.31},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.earth.s.2015040501.31},
      abstract = {Quantitative assessment and forecasting of one or another hydrological phenomenon is important for estimation of vulnerability of natural riverside. Mechanism of riverside destruction by water is considered in the represented work as random process, which is depended both on influence of flow speed and on riverside resistance. As the indicator of this process against such influence is taken riverside characteristic – vulnerability, for determination of which is used a well-known model of the theory of reliability, called “load-strength” model. Proceeding from this fact a result obtained via theoretical formalization in the form of represented formula is considered at this stage as approximation and time factor should be taken into account in the modeling process that will be a step forward in relation to current reality.},
     year = {2015}
    }
    

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    T1  - Risk Analysis of the River Bank Washout and Flooding of the Areas
    AU  - David Kereselidze
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    AU  - Giorgi Bregvadze
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    JF  - Earth Sciences
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    AB  - Quantitative assessment and forecasting of one or another hydrological phenomenon is important for estimation of vulnerability of natural riverside. Mechanism of riverside destruction by water is considered in the represented work as random process, which is depended both on influence of flow speed and on riverside resistance. As the indicator of this process against such influence is taken riverside characteristic – vulnerability, for determination of which is used a well-known model of the theory of reliability, called “load-strength” model. Proceeding from this fact a result obtained via theoretical formalization in the form of represented formula is considered at this stage as approximation and time factor should be taken into account in the modeling process that will be a step forward in relation to current reality.
    VL  - 4
    IS  - 5-1
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Author Information
  • Department of Hydrometeorology, Faculty of Exact & Natural Sciences, Ivane Javakhishvili Tbilisi State University, Tbilisi, Georgia

  • Department of Hydrometeorology, Faculty of Exact & Natural Sciences, Ivane Javakhishvili Tbilisi State University, Tbilisi, Georgia

  • Department of Hydrometeorology, Faculty of Exact & Natural Sciences, Ivane Javakhishvili Tbilisi State University, Tbilisi, Georgia

  • Department of Hydrometeorology, Faculty of Exact & Natural Sciences, Ivane Javakhishvili Tbilisi State University, Tbilisi, Georgia

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